Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 2.957202 3.279965 3.628852 4.034908 4.495639 5.003462 5.607322
2025-04-20 2.476742 2.909532 3.410218 4.035748 4.801145 5.713324 6.891887
2025-04-27 2.207888 2.706916 3.314418 4.115706 5.155638 6.474581 8.298010
2025-05-04 2.015430 2.557195 3.244483 4.192311 5.484371 7.211924 9.744203
2025-05-11 1.855319 2.422737 3.168047 4.235777 5.754535 7.881568 11.166738
2025-05-18 1.721373 2.304762 3.094716 4.265141 5.994526 8.520430 12.613782
2025-05-25 1.562335 2.135433 2.931264 4.144072 5.994623 8.796262 13.529506
2025-06-01 1.448327 2.018120 2.828287 4.096260 6.091245 9.217843 14.719138
2025-06-08 1.355229 1.922384 2.746717 4.069442 6.211759 9.681878 16.031851
2025-06-15 1.316052 1.902051 2.773698 4.209840 6.609076 10.636355 18.328862
2025-06-22 1.243331 1.825074 2.707233 4.193348 6.742079 11.152597 19.895503
2025-06-29 1.172056 1.744979 2.629214 4.149598 6.821309 11.578157 21.343951
2025-07-06 1.068645 1.609481 2.456310 3.937057 6.592001 11.432481 21.667369
2025-07-13 1.019838 1.557855 2.415328 3.946173 6.760534 12.046586 23.648864
2025-07-20 0.988802 1.532616 2.415344 4.025713 7.064956 12.955675 26.411604
2025-07-27 0.959280 1.507641 2.413463 4.100679 7.366918 13.895117 29.407560
2025-08-03 0.926335 1.474618 2.395092 4.143093 7.608553 14.738960 32.333755
2025-08-10 0.893592 1.439757 2.370811 4.171713 7.824323 15.553187 35.339230
2025-08-17 0.840436 1.366546 2.273896 4.053760 7.727396 15.670843 36.598533
2025-08-24 0.802064 1.317004 2.216255 4.007174 7.774463 16.115292 38.796259
2025-08-31 0.769357 1.275660 2.170895 3.981043 7.862143 16.663030 41.381144
2025-09-07 0.761245 1.277771 2.205528 4.117840 8.319047 18.143447 46.920065
2025-09-14 0.733201 1.242118 2.167114 4.101772 8.431891 18.800466 50.180627